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STT351 Final Exam Fall 2008
Tests of hypotheses,
1. For the of score x = skin thickness, a 95% confidence inter-
val [0.822, 0.847] has been obtained for the population mean yu.
It is desired to harness this CI to test
Ho: = 0.85 versus H,: 2 < 0.85,
la. Which action, reject the null hypothesis or fail to reject the
null hypothgsis, is taken based on the test employing this CI?
fe TAA 2 o18S i
Th FSH CL fits entindy hte Pt fF ug eeds thertire , eject fh
ib. Is this test one-sided or two-sided?
One oo bane Hoi eos
m
lc. What is the probability @, of type one error, for this test?
af PC tip Fem) = of . 0:98 © 0,028
id. Ideally, what would be the desired probability of rejecting
Ah if pis 0.84? desinad probability = |
a
2 | finalt2-7-08.nb
2. Plots of P(reject Ho | p) are shown for two tests having the
same a, Ho, Hg.
wes
.
ohgetl Te yest
Poreject Hy 1p)
ob
KOAB A
OBE
OGL
oaL
o2b
L L
06 08 10
2a. Determine Ho.
2b. Determine H,,. Ho! Popol?
2c. Determine a. /
or
me
oo
2d. For the poorer test, determine pos).
6035) = 1-0.875 0.125
finali2-7-08.nb | 5.
Probability.
5. Box I: {4R, 3G, 7 Y}, Box II: {8 R, 2B, 4Y}. Box Lis
chosen with probability 0.8, otherwise Box IL Then bails are
~ selected from the chosen box with equal probability and without
replacement. (= ¢-# PITS) = or
5a. P(R1 Y2|D= (ale ny
7 /
vA :
5b. PRI)= os (#) + 0.2 ($) /
5c. PURI = plznen = ecyecend . @ NGA) Poe
Pee “Per 9a( 410.08 ) ae Bs
5d. PRI U YD = Ple son -~plarnyy = Pen POR Pearse drier)
Sonltsoa( «<4 Ge) coke (4) — — [olde Bye "G > fy
e 0.8m) o2l% i aon (2). oal& (4) .
6. P(OIL) = 0.1, P(+ | OIL) = 0.8, P(+ | OILS) = 0.3. J
6a. P(OIL ~) = plow) etter) =a) t-08) = eNO?)
glow ees oiey = ON e)
ate a (NED
eute CA)
aw. = La)
6b. P(+) = @.) (0-9) +(0.9) (0.3) c
6c, P(OIL | +) = Pins? = econ /
TRCN” ikea) fone)
6dAre events OIL, + independent? Why se \
opto) pen) y peur Jon) —> f Bou eaten a x osfet
7. The number X of road service calls in one day is approxi-
mately Poisson distributed with mean.144. Sketch the normal
approximation of the distribution of X. -<¢¢ = /4*
she vin t1Q
/ 10
“aye iy
6 | finait2-7-08.nb
Expectation, Var, sd.
8. Random variables X, Y have
ExX=5 Var X=3
EY=9 Var Y =4
— cen PEt tile EX es gs) a>
8a. E(6X “TYLA So eg n))eg e -RReNS 2 aes -27
8b. If X,Y neve spenden E(XY) = € (EN = 6a) = 44
8c. If X, Y are independent Var(6X -7Y+11-X) =
= Vor( Sx Ty tHe Soar et * 26(3) - Hau)
a = 76-144 =-12}
~p(w)
0 09
20 0.1
9. The distribution of r.v. W is:
9a. EW ofo9)4 22 (ody
9b. Var W= [o *(0-9) + 20* {9 \ - [ews tLe tors
—
9c. Let T denote the total of 100 independent plays of the lot-
tery whose returns are distributed as W. Sketch the bell-approxi-
mation of the distribution of T. . |
S¥ al [eran easy \ fat 1) taopiy) Vie |
|
N
peeToa) tae Gt) \ |
9d. BCatp= cy (oa) s oe (0) ¢ |
seg a ob (000) J
ed
finalt2-7-08.nb | 7
Continuous models.
10. Lifetime T of an electronic i dis-
tributed with mean «4 = E T = 8 years, és Ks fp
10a. Determine P(T > 8)s</ 1- Pah =
710b. Determine P(T > 304.T > 12) myer T> a: 2é'
11. Time T and wear W are jointly distributed with density:
{(t, w) = (1/6) (t+ w), O<t<1, O<w<3
= 0 elsewhere. -
lla. Verify that f is a joint probability density.
bf( are me ie y prasad Vat = 4] gee ve Ze), ~¢[ 521
° = 4178 = |
6
(= | tadara Poy yout
Crs ool iby deasidy
11b. Determine the marginal density f(t).
Rt) = = Pi elawide « zd S btw dwn Afeveae te tbed
a
\ fat ea
—
lic. Determine the conditional density fy jr(w | t). . She)
= FR, “) is fae) ; re)
ce dy
(\ \ Teg )
1 . 2