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Understanding Confidence Intervals: 95% CI for College Students' Binge Drinking - Prof. L., Study notes of Statistics

The concept of confidence intervals and provides a step-by-step guide to constructing a 95% confidence interval for the proportion of college students who engaged in binge drinking based on a class poll. It also discusses the central limit theorem and the sampling distribution of the sample proportion.

Typology: Study notes

2009/2010

Uploaded on 04/12/2010

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Download Understanding Confidence Intervals: 95% CI for College Students' Binge Drinking - Prof. L. and more Study notes Statistics in PDF only on Docsity! Chapter 21 Page 1 Chapter 21 What is a Confidence Interval? Class Poll: We’ll estimate the proportion of college students who engaged in binge drinking during the last year. Take the definition of binge drinking to be 5 or more drinks on one occasion for males or 4 or more drinks for one occasion for females. Have you engaged in “binge drinking” in the past year? A. YES B. NO Record the estimate of the proportion of college students who engaged in binge drinking at least once in the last year. Recall the definition of parameter and statistic: A parameter is a number used to describe a population. A statistic is a number calculated from a sample and is used to estimate the parameter. For the class poll on binge drinking, what is the statistic? What is the parameter? Chapter 21 Page 2 We want to use our statistic to estimate the parameter – will our statistic be exactly the same as the population parameter? Recall the notion of sampling variability: Different samples from the same population may yield different values of the sample statistic. Clicker Question: How can you reduce the variability of the statistic? A. Reduce the sample size to decrease variability B. Increase the sample size to decrease variability C. We can do nothing to control sampling variability DEFINITION The sampling distribution of a statistic is the distribution of values taken by the statistic in all possible samples from the same population. CENTRAL LIMIT THEOREM (CLT) The sampling distribution of a sum or percentage will become approximately normal as the sample size gets larger.
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