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Population Growth and Age Distribution: Exponential and Logistic Models - Prof. Kim Largen, Study notes of Environmental Science

An overview of population age distribution and dynamics, focusing on variables governing changes in population size and factors affecting population growth. Exponential and logistic growth models, their differences, and the concept of carrying capacity. It also touches upon limits to population growth and density-dependent and density-independent factors.

Typology: Study notes

Pre 2010

Uploaded on 02/12/2009

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Download Population Growth and Age Distribution: Exponential and Logistic Models - Prof. Kim Largen and more Study notes Environmental Science in PDF only on Docsity! 1 Populations: Population Ecology EVPP 110 Lecture Instructor: Dr. Largen Fall 2003 2 Population ecology 4Population – definition – major characteristics – dynamics – life histories 3 Population definition 4Population – definition • group of individuals of a species living in same area at same time – using common resources – regulated by same natural phenomena 4 Figure: Monarch butterflies 5 Population definition 4Population – definition • flexible • allows discourse in similar terms about any population – – – 6 Figure: Aerial census for African buffalo (Syncerus caffer) in the Serengeti of East Africa 7 Population characteristics 4Populations – major characteristics • size • density • dispersion • age distribution 8 Population characteristics 4 Population size – definition • number of individuals – important feature of any population 9 Population characteristics 4 Population size – affects ability of population to survive • small populations tend to become extinct – endangered by random events – inbreeding » » 10 Population characteristics 4Population density – definition • number of individuals in a certain area or volume – # trees per km2 of forest – # earthworms per m3 of soil 11 Population characteristics 4Population density – important to survival of population • individuals spaced widely apart may rarely encounter one another – limits reproductive capacities » 12 Population characteristics 4Population density – how is population density measured? • impossible or impractical to count all individuals in a population – – • use sampling techniques 13 Population characteristics 4 Population density – sampling technique • method to estimate population density – direct count of organisms or indicators in small area or volume » used to project actual density over entire area or volume – examples » » 14 Population characteristics • depending on interactions between – biotic potential » growth factors – environmental resistance » decrease factors 32 Factors that affect size of population 4Factors that affect size of population – biotic potential • “growth factors” • capacity of a population for growth • varies – between populations – within population over time 33 Factors that affect size of population 4 Factors that affect size of population – biotic potential • factors that favor increase in size – abiotic » favorable light » favorable temperature » favorable chemical environment (optimal level of critical nutrients) 34 Factors that affect size of population 4 Factors that affect size of population – biotic potential • factors that favor increase in size – biotic (such as) » high reproductive rate » generalist » adequate food » adequate defenses from predators » resistance to diseases 35 Factors that affect size of population 4Factors that affect size of population – environmental resistance • “decrease factors” • all the factors acting jointly to limit growth of a population 36 Factors that affect size of population 4 Factors that affect size of population – environmental resistance • factors that lead to decrease in size – abiotic » too much, too little light » temperature too high, too low » unfavorable chemical environment (critical nutrients too high, too low) 37 Factors that affect size of population 4 Factors that affect size of population – environmental resistance • factors that lead to decrease in size – biotic (such as) » low reproductive rate » specialist » inadequate food » inadequate defenses from predators » inability to resist diseases 38 Factors that affect size of population 4Factors that affect size of population – biotic potential & environmental resistance • together determine – carrying capacity (K) » number of individuals of a given species that can be sustained indefinitely in a given area or volume 39 Types of population growth 4 Two types of population growth – exponential • accelerating increase in population size – occurs when growth is unregulated – logistic • population growth that is slowed by population-limiting factors – tends to level off at a carrying capacity 40 Types of population growth 4population growth – two types • exponential • logistic 41 Types of population growth 4 Exponential growth – exhibited by a population that has few, if any, resource limitations – starts out slowly, speeds up as population increases – rate of expansion that occurs under ideal conditions – entire population multiplies by a constant factor during constant time intervals 42 Types of population growth 4Exponential growth – described by equation G = rN • G = growth rate of the population • N = population size • r = intrinsic rate of increase – graph produces typical J-shaped curve 43 Types of population growth 4 Exponential growth – r = intrinsic rate of increase • rate at which a population would grow if it had unlimited resources – remains constant for any population expanding without limits • based on organism’s inherent capacity to reproduce – varies by organism 44 Types of population growth 4Exponential growth – r = intrinsic rate of increase • can be roughly estimated as – birth rate minus death rate – r = b - d 45 Types of population growth – occur in nature, over time • four general types exist – stable – irruptive – irregular – cyclic – most are poorly or incompletely understood 61 Population fluctuations 4Population fluctuations – stable • population size fluctuates around carrying capacity – slightly above – slightly below • typical of species in undisturbed tropical rainforests – little variation in average temperature or rainfall 62 Population fluctuations 4 Population fluctuations – irruptive • population is normally fairly stable • occasionally explodes (irrupts) to peak – then crashes to » stable lower level » very low level – due to factor (ie temp) that temporarily increases carrying capacity • examples: raccoon, house mouse 63 Population fluctuations 4Population fluctuations – irregular • irregular, chaotic behavior in population size – no apparent recurring pattern • may be due to – chaos in system – poorly understood interactions 64 Figure: Irregular population fluctuations 65 Population fluctuations 4Population fluctuations – cyclic • fluctuations in size that occur over a regular time period • most are poorly understood • include predator-prey cycles 66 Population fluctuations 4 Population fluctuations – predator-prey cycles • seen in some groups of species that interact as predator and prey – characterized by » sharp increases in numbers followed by » seemingly periodic crashes – classic example » snowshoe hare, Canadian lynx 67 Figure: snowshoe hare and lynx 68 Population fluctuations 4Population fluctuations – predator-prey cycles • explained by two hypotheses – top-down control – bottom-up control 69 Population fluctuations 4 Population fluctuations – predator-prey cycles • top-down control hypothesis – lynx prey on hare – reduces hare population – fewer hares support fewer lynxes – causes periodic reduction in lynx population » lag-time, offset from hare reduction 70 Population fluctuations 4 Population fluctuations – predator-prey cycles • top-down control hypothesis cont – reduced numbers of predators (lynx) allows population of prey (hare) to recover and increase – increased numbers of prey (hare) support increased numbers of predators and lynx population increases – cycle continues 71 Population fluctuations 4 Population fluctuations – predator-prey cycles • top-down control hypothesis cont – doubt has been cast on this explanation » snowshoe hares have been found to exhibit similar 10-year “boom-or-bust” cycles on islands where lynx are absent – leading to 2nd hypothesis » bottom-up control 72 Population fluctuations 4 Population fluctuations – predator-prey cycles • bottom-up control hypothesis – rather than cycle being driven by predator at top » might be driven by food source of prey (hare) at bottom 73 Population fluctuations 4 Population fluctuations – predator-prey cycles • bottom-up control hypothesis cont – reduction in quantity or quality of food source (plants) of hare leads to crash of hare population – fewer hare support fewer predators and lynx population crashes – reduction in hare population gives plant population time to recover 74 Population fluctuations 4 Population fluctuations – predator-prey cycles • bottom-up control hypothesis cont – increased plant population supports more hares and hare population increases – increased hare population supports more lynx and lynx population increases – cycle continues, driven by plant availability 75 Population fluctuations 4 Population fluctuations – predator-prey cycles • genuine examples of both top-down and bottom-up control exist in nature 76 Figure : Population cycles of the snowshoe hare and lynx 77 Survivorship and Life History Strategies 78 Survivorship and life history strategies 4Survivorship and life history strategies – survivorship • life tables • survivorship curves – life history strategies • opportunisitc life history • equilibrial life history 79 Survivorship 4 Survivorship – percentage of an original population that survives to a given age • requires compilation of data (life table) – for each defined age interval » number living at start of interval – reproduce when young – produce many offspring – provide little to no parental care of offspring – most offspring die before reaching reproductive age 94 Life History Strategies 4 Opportunistic(r-selected) life history – characteristics • populations – tends to grow exponentially » thus the name r-selected » due to high intrinsic rate of growth – live in unpredictable environments – controlled by density-independent factors – exhibit type III survivorship curve 95 Life History Strategies 4 Opportunistic(r-selected) life history – examples • bacteria • algae • most annual plants – dandelions • most insects – cockroaches • rodents • oysters 96 97 98 Life History Strategies 4equilibrial (K-selected) life history – put fairly little energy into reproduction • put most energy into long term survival – for purpose of being able to put lots of energy into nurturing and protecting offspring – are good competitors 99 Life History Strategies 4Equilibrial (K-selected) life history – are not considered opportunistic • thrive best in ecosystems with fairly constant environmental conditions – populations remain close to carrying capacity (K) over long periods of time 100 Life History Strategies 4 equilibrial (K-selected) life history – characteristics • organisms – larger-bodied – reproduce later in life – produce fewer offspring – provide high parental care – most offspring survive to reproductive age 101 Life History Strategies 4 Equilibrial (K-selected) life history – characteristics • populations – size tends to be stable » thus the name K-selected » populations tends to stay near carrying capacity (K) – live in predictable environments – controlled by density-dependent factors – exhibit type I survivorship curve 102 Life History Strategies 4Equilibrial (K-selected) life history – examples • humans • large trees • polar bears • elephants 103 104 Life History Strategies 4Intermediate life history – many organisms have life histories that fall between opportunistic and equilibrial • exhibit type II survivorship curve • examples – many birds – squirrels – hydra 105 The End.
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