Scarica Esami metodi statistici e più Esercizi in PDF di Metodi Statistici Per L'impresa solo su Docsity! Business Statistics (a.y. 2012-13) Name ................................. Surname .............................. Matricola ............... Signature....................... 1) Given A and Ac : P(A∪Ac)=0 P(A∩Ac)=1 P(A∩Ac)=P(A) P(A∪Ac)=P(A)+P(Ac) 2) Given A and B, where A is included in B (A⊂B) : P(A∩B)=P(A)P(B) P(A∩B)=P(A|B)P(B) P(A∩B)=P(A) P(A∩B)=P(B) 3) Given a Normal r.v. X, with E(X)= -1 and standard deviation σ=4, and a Standard Normal r.v. Z: P ‐5 X 9 P ‐3 Z 4 P ‐5 X 9 P ‐1.5 Z 2 P ‐5 X 9 P ‐2 Z 5 P ‐5 X 9 P ‐1 Z 2.5 4) For a biased estimator T the MSE is: MSE(T)=V T E T ‐θ 2 MSE(T)=E T‐θ 0 MSE(T)=V T MSE(T)=E T‐E T 0 5) For a test statistic the p-value is 0.005: we accept the null hypothesis for α-level=0.05 we reject the null hypothesis for α-level=0.01 we accept the null hypothesis for α-level=0.01 we reject the alternative hypothesis for α-level=0.01 6) Considering the output1, calculate the value of F-test (explain the result). F=1042600.9/122644.539=8.5 7) Considering the t-test in output1, are there regression coefficients significantly different from zero at an α-level=0.05?(explain the result) age , ne 8) Considering the output1, what is the value of the t test for ne? (explain the result) t=352.4107 / 103.138= 3.417 9) Considering the output2, if the years of education increase, the probability of losing the job after the sixth month: decreases rises does not vary decreases of 0.00757 10) Considering the output2, is it possible to accept the null hypothesis that all regression coefficients are null? (explain the result) No, because Prob>chi2=0.0000<α 11) If odds=0.5, the probability of success, Pr(Y=1|X), is: 0.66 0.33 1 -0.66 12) Which are the assumptions on the response variable in the logit model? Y∼Be(π) independent 13) In output2, what is the interpretation of the regression coefficient for sex? The odds for female is exp(0.476)=1.61 times the odds for male. So, the probability to lose the job after the sixth month for a female is higher than for a male. 14) In output3, calculate sensitivity, specificity and the correctly classified rate sensitivity=14.21% specificity=97.40% correctly classified rate=75.11% 15) Which of the following statements is true? Principal Components are uncorrelated with each other all have the same variance uncorrelated with the observed variables have mean equal to 1